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Ours

How often the bet wins, checked against past seasons: when we said 75%, it hit about 75% of the time.

Book

What the sportsbook's odds imply, with their cut taken out.

Edge

Our chance minus the book's, in percentage points. Positive means we like it more than the market does.

Value

What a $100 bet returns on average if our chance is right. Big favorites can hit a lot and still lose a little money; underdogs hit less but can pay more.

Game picks

    Player props